well an good soldiers dont get confused by circle strafe and at this distance u cant dodge? remember, rly good soldiers can aim and react.
i think shot 1 and then shotgun or more shots if the first dont do that dmg (mainly on distance cause there can a scout dodge, but dont do dmg enough

Soldiers will be forced to pull out their shotgun or inflict damage to themself at close-range, and it's not getting confused by circlestrafe, it's the speed they turn.

Well first he has to get that near, that means splash dmg anyway vs good soldier and then if he circlestrafe he shoot ones more do dmg to himself but the scout is dead